DARIMARKET
NBA · Game recap · Wed, Oct 28

Heat vs. Hawks Recap: Miami Wins Inside, Portis and Adebayo Cash

Final · Miami Heat at Atlanta Hawks
Heat 129, Hawks 117
Board plays on this game
2 of 6 hit. We post the misses too.

Miami beat Atlanta 129-117 in a game the Heat led for 90 percent of the night. Miami opened with a 34-25 first quarter, went into halftime up 69-56 and stretched the lead to 18 in the third. Atlanta cut it to 111-107 midway through the fourth, but Miami answered with 7 straight points and never let it get closer again. Giannis Antetokounmpo had 24 points and 18 rebounds, Bam Adebayo added 24 points, and the Heat outscored the Hawks 70-52 in the paint. Two DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.

What cashed

ALT: Bobby Portis 10+ points (-184 at FanDuel): CASHED

  • Our read: Portis had cleared 10+ points in 9 of his last 10 games and 18 of his last 20. The best price implied 63 percent against about 85 percent from recent games.
  • What happened: He scored 11 on 5-of-11 shooting in 23 minutes off the bench, 1.5 over the line. All 11 came in the first half, and he added 9 rebounds and 4 assists.
  • Worth watching: Portis got there in 23 minutes without a single free throw attempt. The alt number gives room for a quiet stretch like his second half here.
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ALT: Bam Adebayo 3+ assists (-260 at DraftKings): CASHED

  • Our read: Adebayo had 3+ assists in 9 of his last 10 and in every game this season, averaging 4.4, and he had cleared in 9 of his last 10 road games.
  • What happened: He finished with exactly 3 assists, 0.5 over the line, along with 24 points on 8-of-16 shooting, 8-of-9 at the line and 9 rebounds in 33 minutes. Two of those assists set up Pelle Larsson and Tim Hardaway Jr. during Miami's third-quarter push.
  • Worth watching: Adebayo was a scorer first on this night, and the assist line landed right on the number. He took 16 shots and still reached 3, but with no room to spare, and the price at -260 leaves little margin.

How the game played out

Atlanta made 16 threes to Miami's 11 and shot 42 percent from deep, but Miami won inside. The Heat took 96 shots, scored 70 points in the paint and piled up 36 assists. Kingston Flemings scored 23 off the Atlanta bench and Nickeil Alexander-Walker added 23 with 5 threes, but the Hawks' largest lead of the night was 3. Miami also beat Atlanta on the glass 52-40.

Trends to watch

  • Miami's bench gave real minutes, with Portis at 23, Hardaway Jr. at 22 and Larsson at 31. Bench scorers in a deep rotation are worth tracking for points lines.
  • Adebayo was +22 in 33 minutes, the best mark on either team. His minutes look secure when Miami controls games like this.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. For more on these markets, see player prop and alt line, or get more at /nba.

21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.

Player hit rates from this game

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Free. Hit rates show past results, not a prediction. 21+.

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