Kings vs. Mavericks Recap: LaVine Cashes Twice in 115-100 Win

Sacramento beat Dallas 115-100 on Monday night. It was close for a long time: the Kings led 54-53 at the half, and Dallas went up 65-64 midway through the third. Sacramento closed that quarter strong to lead 81-74, then won the fourth 34-26 with eight threes in the quarter. The Kings made 19 threes to 7 for the Mavericks. Three DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game: two on Zach LaVine and one on Naji Marshall.

What cashed

Zach LaVine 28+ points + rebounds + assists (-112 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: LaVine had cleared 28 PRA in 5 of 6 games this season, averaging 29.5, and was coming off a quiet game. - What happened: He finished with exactly 28 PRA (23 points, 4 rebounds, 1 assist) in 28 minutes, clearing by 0.5. His lone assist set up a Malik Monk three that made it 99-87, and his back-to-back threes with 2:46 and 2:18 left pushed the lead to 112-93. - Worth watching: This one cleared by half a point. He got there in only 28 minutes, so a bigger workload in a closer game would give the line more room.

ALT: Zach LaVine 20+ points (-162 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: He had 20+ points in 5 of 6 games this season, averaging 23.5, with a quiet game just behind him. - What happened: He scored 23 on 8-of-14 shooting and 5-of-9 from three, 3.5 over the line. Three of his five threes came in the fourth quarter. - Worth watching: His points come in bunches from deep. The alt line below his average gives some cover on nights when the threes come late.

ALT: Naji Marshall 3+ assists (-172 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Marshall had 3+ assists in 8 of his last 10 and 16 of his last 20. At -172 (about 63% implied) against a recent rate near 76%, the price still had room. - What happened: He handed out 7 assists in 24 minutes, clearing by 4.5. Two of them set up back-to-back Marcus Sasser jumpers in the third quarter, the second of which tied the game 62-62. - Worth watching: He led Dallas with 7 assists while coming off the bench. As long as he keeps that role, his assist line is worth a look.

How the game played out

Sacramento shot 52% from the field and 19-of-43 from three, while Dallas went 7-of-33. The Mavericks went 29-of-35 at the line. Monk had 24 points, 7 assists and a +27 off the bench, and Darius Acuff Jr. scored 25 with 6 assists. The two teams traded the lead 17 times before the Kings pulled away in the fourth.

Trends to watch

• LaVine played 28 minutes and still put up 23 points. If his minutes climb in tighter games, his points and PRA lines get more breathing room.
• Marshall's 7 assists came in 24 minutes. Bench creators with steady passing roles can make low assist lines worth a look.
• Dallas shot 21% from three. Check how the Mavericks are shooting from deep before backing their team total.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. See our guides on player props, alt lines and implied probability, or visit the NBA hub.