Timberwolves vs. Heat Recap: Edwards Scores 45 in 131-106 Win
The Timberwolves beat the Heat 131-106 in Miami, winning all four quarters. Minnesota led 69-59 at halftime and 99-81 after three. Anthony Edwards scored 45 with 9 threes, and Minnesota hit 21 of 50 from deep while Miami made 8 of 33. The Wolves also controlled the glass 52-34, including 17 offensive rebounds to Miami's 4. Five DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.
What cashed
Jaden McDaniels 12+ points (-253 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: McDaniels had 12+ points in each of his last 10 games and 65 of 84 last season. He was not on the injury report, and Donte DiVincenzo was Minnesota's only absence. - What happened: McDaniels scored 17 on 8 of 11 shooting with 8 rebounds and 3 steals in 29 minutes, 5.5 over the 11.5 line. He finished +25. - Worth watching: He got there on efficiency, not volume. Eleven shots is a modest load, so this line leans on him staying a starter with steady minutes.
Ayo Dosunmu 15+ points + rebounds + assists (-291 DraftKings / -320 FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Dosunmu hit 15+ PRA in 9 of his last 10 and 63 of 79 last season. With DiVincenzo out, his guard minutes looked secure. - What happened: 16 points, 5 rebounds and 3 assists off the bench for 24 PRA, 9.5 over the 14.5 line. He played 29 minutes and was +21. - Worth watching: Twenty-nine bench minutes is a real role. As long as DiVincenzo is out, this number has room.
Ayo Dosunmu 10+ points (-214 DraftKings / -235 FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Dosunmu scored 10+ in 8 of his last 10 and 63 of 79 last season, with his bench-guard role steady. - What happened: The same 16 points on 6 of 13 shooting and 3 of 3 at the line, 6.5 over the 9.5 line. - Worth watching: His points line and PRA line moved together here. Pairing them stacks the same outcome, so we treat them as one read.
Davion Mitchell 15+ points + rebounds + assists (-224 DraftKings / -280 FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Mitchell hit 15+ PRA in 9 of his last 10 and 56 of 71 last season, and he was healthy in a game with a 239.5 total. - What happened: 11 points and 11 assists for 22 PRA, 7.5 over the 14.5 line, even with zero rebounds. He played 33 minutes and had 5 turnovers. - Worth watching: His assists did the work. When Miami runs offense through him, his assist count drives this prop.
Joan Beringer 4+ rebounds (-256 DraftKings / -310 FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Beringer hit 4+ rebounds in 4 of his last 5 and 7 of 8 in his recent sample, and Minnesota was only without DiVincenzo. - What happened: He grabbed 6 rebounds in 14 minutes off the bench, 2.5 over the 3.5 line. - Worth watching: Six boards in 14 minutes is a strong rate. His minutes are the variable, so check the rotation before playing it.
How the game played out
Edwards finished with 45 points, 10 rebounds and a +25 on 16 of 29 shooting. LaMelo Ball added 21 points and 6 assists, and Rudy Gobert pulled down 15 rebounds. For Miami, Giannis Antetokounmpo scored 35 on 13 of 19 shooting and 9 of 14 at the line. Bam Adebayo had 15 points and 7 rebounds.
Trends to watch
- Edwards took 17 threes and made 9. Volume like that keeps his points and made-threes markets in play every night.
- Gobert (15) and Beringer (6) combined for 21 rebounds. Minnesota's bigs had a clear edge on the glass in this matchup.
- Mitchell had 11 assists with 5 turnovers in 33 minutes. His assist line is worth a look while he holds that playmaking role.
Stats are from the ESPN box score. Learn more about player props and implied probability, or see today's NBA board.
21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.