Timberwolves vs. Pelicans Recap: McDaniels Leads 13 Cashes
The Timberwolves beat the Pelicans 115-109 on the road on Friday night. It was close all the way, with 13 lead changes. New Orleans led 30-27 after one, Minnesota took a 57-51 lead into the half, and the Pelicans were back in front 79-77 after three. Minnesota then won the fourth quarter 38-30. Thirteen DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.
What cashed
Timberwolves ML (-188 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Minnesota had won 7 of its last 10 and New Orleans 4 of its last 10, with -188 implying about 65 percent. - What happened: The Wolves won by 6 after scoring 38 in the fourth. - Worth watching: Minnesota made 27 of 37 free throws and grabbed 17 offensive rebounds. That extra volume is worth tracking in close games.
Saddiq Bey 13+ points (-107 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: He had 13 or more in 8 of his last 10 and 17 of his last 20, at a price implying 52 percent. - What happened: 17 points off the bench on 5 of 13 shooting, with 3 of 6 from deep and 4 of 4 at the line. He cleared by 4.5. - Worth watching: He played 31 minutes as a reserve. That workload is what holds up his scoring lines.
ALT: Saddiq Bey 20+ points + rebounds + assists (+118 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: 20 or more in 7 of his last 10 and 16 of his last 20, at a plus price. - What happened: 17 points, 5 rebounds and 4 assists for 26, clearing by 6.5. - Worth watching: The boards and assists gave him room on an uneven shooting night.
Jaden McDaniels 9+ rebounds + assists (+100 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: He had 9 or more in 9 of his last 10, offered at even money. - What happened: 6 rebounds and 5 assists for 11, clearing by 2.5. - Worth watching: He logged 40 minutes, the most on either team.
ALT: Pelicans +9.5 (-225 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: The main line was New Orleans +4.5, and the Pelicans had covered +9.5 in 4 of 5, 8 of 10 and 7 of 8 this season. - What happened: They lost by 6, so the alt cashed with 3.5 to spare. - Worth watching: Minnesota's largest lead all night was 11. The Pelicans kept this one tight throughout.
Zion Williamson 25+ points + rebounds + assists (-210 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: He had 25 or more in 7 of 8, averaging 29.5 on 33 minutes. - What happened: 13 points on 5 of 10 shooting, 8 rebounds and 4 assists for exactly 25. It cashed by half a point. - Worth watching: His rebounds and assists carried this one. Combo props give that kind of cushion when the scoring is light.
Jaden McDaniels 3+ assists (-138 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: 3 or more assists in 8 of 9, averaging 3.7. - What happened: 5 assists, clearing by 2.5. - Worth watching: He also had only 2 turnovers in 40 minutes.
Jaden McDaniels 6+ rebounds (-111 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: 6 or more boards in 8 of 9, averaging 6.3. - What happened: Exactly 6 rebounds, cashing by half a point. - Worth watching: Gobert and Lyles combined for 24 rebounds, which left a thin share of the boards for him.
ALT: Jaden McDaniels 12+ points (-409 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: He had 12 or more in all 9 games this season, averaging 16.4. - What happened: 23 points on 8 of 19 shooting and 5 of 5 at the line, clearing by 11.5. - Worth watching: At -409 the payout is small, and the case rests on his floor.
ALT: Trey Murphy III 4+ rebounds (-280 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: 4 or more boards in 6 of 7, averaging 4.6. - What happened: Exactly 4 rebounds in 34 minutes, cashing by half a point. - Worth watching: Even a short-priced alt can land right on the number, so the price matters.
ALT: Jaden McDaniels 20+ points + rebounds + assists (-430 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: 20 or more in all 9 games this season, averaging 26.2. - What happened: 23 points, 6 rebounds and 5 assists for 34, clearing by 14.5. - Worth watching: This was his biggest margin of the night. He filled every column.
Trey Murphy III 3+ assists (-180 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: 3 or more assists in 6 of 7, averaging 3.4. - What happened: 5 assists, clearing by 2.5. - Worth watching: He scored 10 points on 3 of 7 shooting, and the passing still came through.
Trey Murphy III 8+ rebounds + assists (-120 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: 8 or more in 8 of his last 10 and 15 of his last 20, at a price implying 55 percent. - What happened: 4 rebounds and 5 assists for 9, clearing by 1.5. - Worth watching: The assists did the work here, since he had only 4 boards.
How the game played out
Ayo Dosunmu led Minnesota with 26 points and LaMelo Ball added 22 with 8 assists. Jeremiah Fears scored 24 for New Orleans and Karlo Matkovic hit 4 threes for 18. The Pelicans won the fast-break battle 30-11, but Minnesota outrebounded them 49-41.
Trends to watch
- McDaniels played 40 minutes and posted 23, 6 and 5. When his minutes run that high, his combo lines have room.
- Murphy's floor came from passing, not scoring. His assist and rebounds-plus-assists lines held up on a 10-point night.
- Minnesota took 37 free throws to 26 for New Orleans. That gap mattered in a game the Pelicans led after three quarters.
Stats are from the ESPN box score. New to these markets? See our player props and alt line guides, or head to the NBA hub.
21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.