DARIMARKET
NBA · Game recap · Wed, Nov 4

Timberwolves vs. Rockets Recap: Four Jaden McDaniels Props Cash

Final · Minnesota Timberwolves at Houston Rockets
Timberwolves 117, Rockets 107
Board plays on this game
9 of 16 hit. We post the misses too.

The Minnesota Timberwolves beat the Houston Rockets 117-107 on Wednesday night, pulling away late after a back-and-forth game. Minnesota took the first quarter 33-30, Houston won the second 27-24 to make it 57-57 at the half, and the Rockets edged the third 27-25 to lead 84-82 going into the fourth. The Wolves then won the final quarter 35-23. The game had 26 lead changes. Minnesota played without Anthony Edwards and got 21 points from Ayo Dosunmu, 20 from LaMelo Ball and 19 off the bench from Bones Hyland. Houston had 21 from Kevin Durant and a triple-double from Alperen Sengun. Nine DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game, led by four Jaden McDaniels props.

What cashed

ALT: Jaden McDaniels 12+ points (-356 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: McDaniels had scored 12+ in all 8 games this season, averaging 16.8. - What happened: He scored 14 on 7-of-14 shooting in 37 minutes, clearing by 2.5 even though he went 0-for-6 from three. - Worth watching: He got there inside the arc on a cold shooting night, which speaks well of the floor.

ALT: Jaden McDaniels 20+ points + rebounds + assists (-320 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: McDaniels had cleared 20+ PRA in all 8 games this season, averaging 26.3. - What happened: He posted 14 points, 8 rebounds and 4 assists for 26, clearing by 6.5. - Worth watching: With 37 minutes of work, the combo gives him three ways to get there.

Jaden McDaniels 9+ rebounds + assists (+108 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: McDaniels had cleared 9+ rebounds plus assists in 8 of his last 10 and 11 of his last 20, and +108 implied 48% against about 65% from recent games. - What happened: His 8 rebounds and 4 assists made 12, clearing by 3.5. - Worth watching: Plus money on a combo he has hit often lately is a price worth checking again.

ALT: Jaden McDaniels 6+ rebounds (+122 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: McDaniels had grabbed 6+ rebounds in 8 of his last 10 and 11 of his last 20, and +122 implied 45% against about 65% from recent games. - What happened: He pulled down 8 rebounds, 7 of them on the defensive glass, clearing by 2.5. - Worth watching: His recent rebounding has outrun the price, so this line is worth a look while it stays at plus money.

ALT: Rudy Gobert 20+ points + rebounds + assists (-188 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Gobert had cleared 20+ PRA in 9 of his last 10 and 17 of his last 20, and -188 implied 65% against about 83% from recent games. - What happened: He finished with 8 points, 11 rebounds and 2 assists for 21, clearing by 1.5. - Worth watching: Six offensive rebounds helped carry this one, and his work on the glass is the base of the combo.

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ALT: Joan Beringer 6+ rebounds (+100 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Beringer had grabbed 6+ rebounds in 8 of his last 10 and 10 of his last 16, and the best price of +118 implied 46% against about 68% from recent games. - What happened: He grabbed 7 rebounds in just 13 minutes off the bench, clearing by 1.5. - Worth watching: Getting there in 13 minutes shows how fast he rebounds, though the light workload leaves little room.

ALT: Alperen Sengun 6+ assists (-118 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Sengun had 6+ assists in 8 of his last 10 and 14 of his last 20, and -118 implied 54% against about 72% from recent games. - What happened: He handed out 10 assists to go with 17 points and 12 rebounds in 39 minutes, clearing by 4.5. - Worth watching: Ten assists in 39 minutes shows the volume behind his assist line.

ALT: Amen Thompson 20+ points + rebounds + assists (-620 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Thompson had cleared 20+ PRA in 7 of his 8 games this season, averaging 25.8. - What happened: He finished with 11 points, 8 rebounds and 1 assist for 20, clearing by a half point. - Worth watching: This one went to the wire at a steep price, so it fits better as a parlay leg than a standalone bet.

ALT: Jabari Smith Jr. 2+ made threes (-215 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Smith had made 2+ threes in his last 5, 8 of his last 10 and 7 of his 8 games this season. - What happened: He hit 2 of 3 from deep in 35 minutes, clearing by a half point. - Worth watching: He only took 3 threes, so this line depends on volume as much as his shooting.

How the game played out

Turnovers were the biggest gap. Houston gave it away 22 times and Minnesota turned that into 33 points, while the Rockets scored 19 off 17 Wolves turnovers. Minnesota also shot 53 percent, won the paint 54-40 and had 19 fast-break points to Houston's 7. After trailing by 2 entering the fourth, the Wolves outscored Houston by 12 in the final quarter.

Trends to watch

  • McDaniels played 37 minutes with Edwards out, and that workload kept all of his lines in reach even on an 0-for-6 night from three.
  • Sengun posted 17 points, 12 rebounds and 10 assists, and his assist and rebound lines carry real volume.
  • Gobert grabbed 6 offensive rebounds, and his rebounding keeps his combo props worth a look.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. See our guides on alt lines, player props and parlays, or visit the NBA hub.

21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.

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