Bills vs. Raiders Recap: Allen Clears 200, Both Team Totals Cash

The Bills held off the Raiders 33-30 in a game that was tied 23-23 with 8:07 left. James Cook III broke the tie with a 3-yard touchdown run, and Tyler Bass added a 38-yard field goal to make it 33-23 with 1:56 to go. Kirk Cousins hit Tre Tucker for a 44-yard touchdown 24 seconds later, but Buffalo ran out the clock. Josh Allen threw touchdown passes to Khalil Shakir and Keon Coleman, and Bass made all four of his field goals. Four DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.

What cashed

Josh Allen 200+ passing yards (-354 DraftKings / -340 FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Allen had 200+ passing yards in all 5 games this season and 8 of his last 10. The main line was 239.5-241.5 in a game with a 53.5 total. - What happened: Allen completed 23 of 33 passes for 255 yards and 2 touchdowns, 55.5 over the line, with no interceptions. He spread it around: Coleman had 59 yards, Cook 58 and Joshua Palmer a 37-yard catch. - Worth watching: Allen cleared even the main line here. The 200+ alt comes at a steep price; in a high-total game, the main number is worth a look too.

Ashton Jeanty 3+ receptions (-274 at DraftKings / -320 FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Jeanty had 3+ catches in 5 of 5 games this season (6, 3, 6, 3 in the last four). With Bech and Thornton on IR, we expected the check-down volume to stay with him, and he was off the injury report. - What happened: Jeanty caught 4 of 6 targets for 36 yards, 1.5 over the line. He had his third catch, a 9-yarder, with 6:25 left in the second quarter and a 15-yarder less than a minute later. He also scored Las Vegas' first touchdown on a 1-yard run. - Worth watching: Jeanty ran 10 times for 22 yards, so the receiving work is where his value showed up. His catch line stays worth tracking while Bech and Thornton are out.

ALT: Bills over 25.5 team total points (-255 at DraftKings / -260 FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Buffalo had scored 36, 41, 24, 26 and 37 (26+ in 4 of 5, 32.8 per game), and Vegas had just allowed 45 to New England and 30 to Kansas City. - What happened: The Bills sat at 23 from late in the third quarter. Cook's 3-yard touchdown run with 4:43 left took them to 30 and over the line, capping a 7-play, 66-yard drive. Bass' field goal made it 33. - Worth watching: Buffalo scored on 7 of its drives, with 3 touchdowns in 5 red zone trips. An offense that keeps finishing like this makes its team total worth checking every week.

ALT: Raiders over 20.5 team total points (-195 at DraftKings / -215 FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Vegas had put up 27, 26, 35 and 27 before a 17 against New England, and Cousins was starting again. Buffalo had allowed 31, 31, 16, 29 and 34 (28.2 per game). - What happened: The Raiders got over with 8:07 left. Cousins' 11-yard touchdown pass to Tucker finished a 9-play, 91-yard drive and made it 23-23. The late 44-yarder to Tucker took them to 30. - Worth watching: Cousins threw for 313 yards and was not sacked. Against a defense that has been giving up points all season, the Raiders' team total is worth a look again.

How the game played out

The teams traded scores all day and were level 13-13 at halftime after two Matt Gay field goals in the last 2:14 of the second quarter. The swing came in the third quarter: Dorian Williams intercepted Cousins at the Las Vegas 32, and Allen found Coleman for a 12-yard touchdown on the 6-play drive that followed to make it 23-13. Las Vegas answered with a 15-play field goal drive and the tying touchdown, but Buffalo scored the next 10 points.

Trends to watch

• Tucker caught 5 passes for 97 yards and both Raiders receiving touchdowns. Michael Mayer added 7 catches for 95 yards on 9 targets.
• Cook carried 22 times for 95 yards and caught all 3 of his targets for 58 yards. His rushing and receiving lines are both worth a look.
• Las Vegas ran for only 65 yards on 20 carries, and Cousins threw 41 times. When the run game is stuck, the Raiders' passing props carry the volume.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. For more on these markets, see alt lines, player props and team totals, or head to the NFL hub.