DARIMARKET
NFL · Game recap · Sun, Oct 25

Browns vs. Titans Recap: Szmyt Wins It at the Gun, 27-24

Final · Cleveland Browns at Tennessee Titans
Browns 27, Titans 24
Board plays on this game
3 of 5 hit. We post the misses too.

The Browns beat the Titans 27-24 on Sunday on an Andre Szmyt 32-yard field goal as time expired. Tennessee jumped out 14-0 on two Tony Pollard touchdown runs in the first quarter, Cleveland answered with two Quinshon Judkins scores and a field goal to lead 17-14 at the half, and the fourth quarter went back and forth. Deshaun Watson ran in a 9-yard score with 4:34 left, Pollard tied it with 58 seconds to go, and Cleveland moved 55 yards in four plays to win it. Three DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.

What cashed

ALT: Harold Fannin Jr. 25+ receiving yards (-158 at FanDuel): CASHED

  • Our read: Fannin had cleared 25 receiving yards in 7 of his last 10 games and 15 of his last 20, and -158 implied about 61% against roughly 70% from those games.
  • What happened: He caught 6 of 9 targets for 91 yards, with a long of 36, and cleared the line by 66.5.
  • Worth watching: Fannin was second on the team in targets behind KC Concepcion. With Watson throwing 36 times, a low alt on the tight end held up easily.

ALT: Jerry Jeudy 2+ receptions (-163 at DraftKings): CASHED

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  • Our read: Jeudy had cleared 2 catches in 8 of his last 10 games and 16 of his last 20, and -163 implied about 62% against roughly 76% from recent games.
  • What happened: He finished with 4 catches for 21 yards, 2.5 over the line.
  • Worth watching: Cleveland spread the ball around, so Jeudy's yardage was modest. A low catch line was the right way to play his role in this offense.

ALT: Elic Ayomanor 10+ receiving yards (-175 at DraftKings): CASHED

  • Our read: Ayomanor had cleared 10 receiving yards in 9 of his last 10 games and 18 of his last 20, and -175 implied about 64% against roughly 85% from those games.
  • What happened: He caught 3 of 7 targets for 44 yards, with a long of 26, clearing the line by 34.5.
  • Worth watching: Ayomanor tied Carnell Tate for the Titans' lead with 7 targets. That share keeps his low receiving lines in play.

How the game played out

Cleveland outgained Tennessee 491 to 322. Watson completed 25 of 36 passes for 308 yards with an interception and added a rushing touchdown, and Concepcion caught 8 passes for 129 yards. Pollard carried the Titans with 25 carries for 129 yards and 3 touchdowns. Both teams turned it over twice, the third quarter was scoreless, and a Cleveland field goal try came up empty on a 9-play drive. Joey Slye tied it 17-17 with a 29-yard kick with 8:41 left before the late scoring burst.

Trends to watch

  • Pollard scored all three Titans touchdowns, including a 36-yard run. His workload makes his rushing and touchdown lines worth checking next week.
  • Judkins ran 17 times for 96 yards and 2 touchdowns. He scored both of Cleveland's first-half touchdowns, so his anytime touchdown line is worth a look.
  • Concepcion led the Browns with 10 targets and also ran 3 times for 23 yards. That mix makes his combined yardage line one to watch.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. New here? Read our player prop and implied probability guides, or see the full board on /nfl.

21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.

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