DARIMARKET
NFL · Game recap · Sun, Sep 27

Seahawks vs. Commanders Recap: JSN's 128 Yards in a 33-31 Finish

Final · Seattle Seahawks at Washington Commanders
Commanders 33, Seahawks 31
Board plays on this game
1 of 6 hit. We post the misses too.

Washington beat Seattle 33-31, and the Seahawks lost it with the ball. Seattle out-gained Washington 437 to 258 but turned it over three times, and Washington turned those into 20 points. A first-quarter fumble at the Seattle 21 set up the opening touchdown, a third-quarter interception set up a 30-yard Terry McLaurin score, and Kain Medrano returned an interception 50 yards for a touchdown with 3:57 left to make it 33-24. Seattle scored again at 2:51 but never got the ball back. One DARIMARKET play cashed on this game, and it came from Seattle's passing game.

What cashed

ALT: Jaxon Smith-Njigba 70+ receiving yards (alt, targeted -170 to -200): CASHED

  • Our read: Sam Darnold was back, and Washington was short on defense with S Nick Cross and LB Frankie Luvu out. DraftKings had JSN at 100+ for +112, so 70+ was a big cushion.
  • What happened: 10 catches on 14 targets for 128 yards and 2 touchdowns, clearing 69.5 by 58.5. He scored from 1 yard out in the second quarter and on an 11-yard catch that tied it 24-24 early in the fourth. On Seattle's last touchdown drive he caught three straight passes for 44 yards. He even threw a 14-yard pass to George Holani on the tying drive.
  • Worth watching: 14 targets is a featured role, and he cleared the 100+ number too. With Darnold throwing 45 times, his alt yardage lines are worth a look again.
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How the game played out

Darnold threw for 379 yards and 4 touchdowns, and Seattle had 22 passing first downs to Washington's 10. The run game gave him little help: 18 carries for 44 yards. Marcus Mariota was efficient on the other side, completing 19 of 31 passes for 183 yards and 3 touchdowns with no interceptions. McLaurin had 6 catches for 77 yards and a score. Washington ran 32 times for 82 yards, and after Seattle's last touchdown a 19-yard Rachaad White run helped it run out the clock.

Trends to watch

  • JSN drew 14 of Seattle's targets with Darnold back. That share makes his receiving yardage alts worth watching every week.
  • Seattle ran 18 times for 44 yards and leaned on Darnold's arm. That kind of game script feeds Seattle's pass catchers.
  • Washington turned three takeaways into 20 points while gaining only 258 yards. Short fields and return scores can swing a game that the yardage says should go the other way.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. New to these terms? Read up on the alt line, the player prop and implied probability, or head to the NFL hub.

21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.

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