Steelers vs. Buccaneers Recap: Rodgers Wins It in OT, Six Plays Cash

The Steelers beat the Buccaneers 26-19 in overtime after trailing 16-3 late in the third quarter. Tampa Bay led on three Chase McLaughlin field goals and a Jalon Daniels touchdown pass to Emeka Egbuka, but Pittsburgh scored 16 straight points in the fourth: a Darnell Washington touchdown catch and three Chris Boswell field goals. McLaughlin forced overtime with a 53-yarder with 8 seconds left, and Aaron Rodgers won it with a 6-yard touchdown pass to Germie Bernard. Six DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.

What cashed

DK Metcalf 3+ receptions (-395 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Metcalf had 3+ catches in all 5 games this season and 9 of his last 10, with no injury designation. - What happened: Metcalf caught 11 passes on 15 targets for 93 yards, 8.5 over the line. Rodgers leaned on him in the fourth quarter and again in overtime, where he had catches of 20, 9 and 5 yards on the winning drive. - Worth watching: 15 targets is a heavy workload. At -395 the price is steep, so his yardage or a higher catch line is where the value sits while Rodgers keeps feeding him like this.

Chris Godwin Jr. 3+ receptions (-207 DraftKings / -215 FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Godwin had 3+ catches in all 5 games this season and 9 of his last 10, with the main line at 3.5. He had no designation on the Friday report, and Daniels was making his 3rd start. - What happened: Godwin cashed early. He caught passes of 4, 13 and 11 yards in the first quarter, all on the drive that ended in the Egbuka touchdown. He added a 9-yard catch in overtime and finished with 4 catches for 37 yards on 8 targets. - Worth watching: Daniels looked for him early and often. The alt line at 3+ gave a cushion the main 3.5 would not have, which is the angle to keep using while Tampa Bay plays its backup.

Jaylen Warren 40+ rushing yards (-390 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Warren had 40+ rushing yards in all 5 games this season and 9 of his last 10, with the main line at 60.5. Tampa Bay was starting Daniels with Baker Mayfield (thumb) out. - What happened: Warren ran 14 times for 50 yards, 10.5 over the line, with a long of 16 in the first quarter. He added a 7-yard run and a 12-yard catch on the overtime touchdown drive. - Worth watching: Rico Dowdle took 7 carries for 40 yards, so the work is shared. The 40-yard floor held, but the main 60.5 would not have, which is why the alt line was the play.

ALT: Over 31.5 total points (-345 DraftKings / -340 FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: The main total was 38.5, and these teams' games had cleared 31.5 in 16 of the last 20, including 8 of 10 this season. - What happened: The game finished with 45 points, 13.5 over the line. It got there late: Boswell's 58-yarder with 1:55 left made it 16-16 and pushed the total past 31.5. - Worth watching: Both offenses stalled for long stretches, and it still cleared. A total built on field goals can sneak over a low alt number even when the main line looks shaky.

ALT: Buccaneers over 14.5 team total points (-235 DraftKings / -250 FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Tampa Bay had cleared 14.5 in 4 of 5 this season and 9 of its last 10, and it was only +2.5 at home. - What happened: The Bucs were at 16 after McLaughlin's 33-yard field goal with 5:02 left in the third. That kick capped a 17-play, 70-yard drive. They finished with 19. - Worth watching: McLaughlin made all four of his field goals, including two from 47 and beyond. Even with the offense at 224 total yards, the kicker carried this number.

ALT: Steelers over 17.5 team total points (-165 DraftKings / -180 FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Pittsburgh's main team total was 20.5. The Steelers had scored 18+ in 4 of 5 this season and 8 of their last 10, and Tampa Bay was on its backup QB. - What happened: This one was in doubt. Pittsburgh had 3 points through three quarters. Boswell's 20-yard field goal with 1:21 left put the Steelers at 19 and over the line. It came after a Jamel Dean interception returned 40 yards to the Tampa Bay 3. - Worth watching: Pittsburgh held the ball for 38:36 and still needed the defense to set up points. Turnovers forced against a backup quarterback are part of why this number came through.

How the game played out

Tampa Bay's defense sacked Rodgers five times, and A'Shawn Robinson picked him off on Pittsburgh's second drive. The Steelers' defense answered in the fourth quarter with two interceptions of Daniels, by Daylen Everette and Dean. Daniels completed 22 of 43 passes for 164 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions.

Trends to watch

• Metcalf and Bernard each caught 11 passes. Rodgers threw 49 times, and the short passing game is where his volume goes.
• Egbuka drew 16 targets from Daniels but turned them into 7 catches for 48 yards. Target volume is there; efficiency is not.
• Pittsburgh scored touchdowns on 2 of 4 red zone trips and settled for field goals often. Boswell's attempts are worth tracking in games like this.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. For more on these markets, see alt lines, team totals and player props, or head to the NFL hub.