DARIMARKET
NHL · Game recap · Sat, Oct 3

Senators vs. Maple Leafs Recap: Halliday Wins It, Three Props Cash

Final · Ottawa Senators at Toronto Maple Leafs
Senators 3, Maple Leafs 2
Board plays on this game
3 of 4 hit. We post the misses too.

The Ottawa Senators beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 3-2 in regulation. Thomas Chabot opened the scoring at 18:51 of the 1st, Toronto flipped it with two goals in the 2nd, and Ottawa answered with the last two. Shots finished dead even at 29 apiece. Linus Ullmark made 27 saves for Ottawa, while Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 26 for Toronto. Three DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game, all on the Toronto side.

What cashed

Darren Raddysh 2+ shots on goal (-265 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Raddysh put up 2+ shots in 55 of 73 games last season, about 2.90 a game, and he opened his Toronto run with 4 and then 3 shots while logging 20-24 minutes a night. - What happened: Raddysh finished with 2 shots on goal and 1 assist in 22:46, including 5:06 on the power play. That cleared the 1.5 line by 0.5. His assist came on Kirill Marchenko's power-play backhand at 7:06 of the 2nd, the goal that gave Toronto its only lead. - Worth watching: He led Toronto's defense in power-play time here, and that kind of usage is what keeps a shot prop in play. The price is steep, so it only makes sense while the minutes hold.

William Nylander 1+ points (-170 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Nylander had a point in 46 of 65 games last season on his way to 79 points, and he came in with 2 points through 2 games. - What happened: Nylander went 0 G, 1 A with 2 shots on goal in 21:25, with 4:53 on the power play. The assist came early: Auston Matthews tipped in the tying goal just 33 seconds into the 2nd, set up by Morgan Rielly and Nylander. That one point cleared the 0.5 line by 0.5. - Worth watching: Nylander played over 21 minutes with a big share of the power play, and he is setting up Matthews, who had 6 shots on goal. That is the setup behind a point prop, and the price is the main thing to check.

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Jack Roslovic 2+ shots on goal (-115 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Roslovic had 2+ shots in 45 of 69 games last season and had exactly 2 in each of Toronto's first two games. At a confidence of 60, this was a longer shot that landed. - What happened: Roslovic hit it right on the number: 2 shots on goal in 14:49, with 1:47 on the power play, clearing the 1.5 line by 0.5. He finished plus-1. - Worth watching: He is on a smaller minutes load than the top names, so this prop lives on shot rate more than ice time. It cashed with no room to spare, which is worth remembering at shorter prices.

How the game played out

The 2nd period was the swing. Toronto tied it 33 seconds in and went ahead on the power play at 7:06, but Michael Amadio evened it at 12:40 off a feed from Tim Stutzle and Chabot. Stephen Halliday scored the winner at 9:46 of the 3rd on a snap shot, with Claude Giroux picking up his second assist of the night. Toronto could not find the equalizer against Ullmark the rest of the way.

Trends to watch

  • Special teams: Each side had four power plays. Toronto scored once on theirs, and Ottawa did not score on any of its four.
  • Ottawa blocked shots and hit a lot: The Senators blocked 20 shots to Toronto's 10, out-hit them 29 to 18, and won 56.9 percent of faceoffs. Chabot alone blocked 7 shots in 27:06 to go with a goal and an assist.
  • Toronto's PP minutes: Raddysh (5:06), Matthews, and Nylander (4:53) carried the power play. Those are the names to track for shot and point props.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. More on the board at NHL picks and NHL recaps, and if you are new to these markets, start with what a player prop is and how American odds work.

21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.

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