Oregon St vs. Fresno St Recap: Fresno +10.5 and Atkinson 325+ Cash

Fresno State beat Oregon State 38-22. Oregon State outgained the Bulldogs 450 to 392, but it settled for three Caleb Ojeda field goals in the first half and lost two fumbles. Fresno State led 21-9 at the half and pulled away with 17 points in the third quarter. Four DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game, including one long shot.

What cashed

ALT: Fresno State +10.5 (-205 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Fresno State had stayed inside 10.5 in 8 of its last 10 and 5 of its last 5. The main line had Oregon State -6 on the road. - What happened: Fresno State won outright by 16, so the +10.5 cleared by 26.5. Bryson Donelson ran 16 times for 108 yards, including a 63-yard touchdown, and Fresno State ran for 190 yards as a team. - Worth watching: Fresno State won this as a home underdog. When the market lines them up as a dog at home, the extra points on the alt are worth a look.

ALT: Fresno State over 22.5 team points (-185 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Fresno State had scored 23+ in 8 of its last 10 and 5 of 5 lately, and Oregon State's defense had been giving up points all year. - What happened: Fresno State scored 38, clearing 22.5 by 15.5. It went over early in the third quarter, when Manaki Watanabe's 30-yard field goal made it 24-9. - Worth watching: Jayden Mandal was efficient, completing 11 of 17 passes for 202 yards and 2 touchdowns, and he ran for two more. An offense that scores this many ways keeps team overs live.

ALT: Braden Atkinson 325+ passing yards (+118 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Atkinson had cleared 325 passing yards in 7 of his last 10 and 12 of 18. At +118 the price implied 46%, against about 66% from recent games. - What happened: Atkinson completed 33 of 59 passes for 373 yards and 1 touchdown, 48.5 over the line. Oregon State trailed by at least 12 from late in the second quarter on, and he kept throwing. - Worth watching: The volume was the story: 59 attempts. A plus-money price on a passer this busy is worth checking again, though game script did a lot of the work here.

ALT: Eric Olsen 40+ receiving yards (-124 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Olsen had cleared 40 receiving yards in 6 of his last 10 and 13 of 19. The best price, -124, implied 55% against about 63% from recent games. This was a lower-confidence play, a long shot that landed. - What happened: Olsen caught 7 passes for 71 yards, 31.5 over the line, with a long of 22. He also caught a 9-yard touchdown from Atkinson with 1:45 left. - Worth watching: Olsen got there on steady volume rather than one big play. With Oregon State throwing this much, his catch count is worth tracking.

How the game played out

Oregon State moved the ball but kept stalling. It went 6 of 17 on third down and turned it over on downs three times. The swing came in the third quarter: an Oregon State fumble on a 1-play drive set up a short Fresno State touchdown drive of 19 yards, and Mandal hit Josiah Freeman for a 31-yard score later in the quarter to make it 38-16.

Trends to watch

• Fresno State ran for 190 yards on 39 carries while Oregon State managed 77 on 28.
• Oregon State threw for 373 yards and ran for just 77, a pass-heavy split.
• Fresno State was cleaner: 2 penalties for 17 yards against 6 penalties for 30 yards by Oregon State.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. For more on these markets, see our guides to point spreads, player props and alt lines.