TCU vs. Arizona Recap: Late Field Goal Wins It, Four Plays Cash

Arizona beat TCU 29-28 on a 37-yard Michael Salgado-Medina field goal with 38 seconds left. TCU led 28-20 after a 2-yard Jaden Craig touchdown run with 6:35 to go. Noah Fifita answered with a 15-yard touchdown pass to Quincy Craig at 1:45, the two-point try failed, and Arizona got the ball back for the winning kick. It was a good night for the board on both sides of the field. Four DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.

What cashed

Noah Fifita 279+ passing yards (-114 FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Fifita had cleared 279+ passing yards in 8 of his last 10 games and 11 of his last 20. The -114 price implied about 53%, and his recent run put him near 65%. - What happened: Fifita completed 24 of 37 passes for 313 yards and 2 touchdowns with 1 interception, 34.5 yards past the line. Giovanni Richardson was his top target with 11 catches for 171 yards. Fifita also ran in a 9-yard touchdown in the third quarter. - Worth watching: Arizona threw for 313 and ran for 128. As long as the offense runs through Fifita and Richardson, his yardage line stays in play.

ALT: Jaden Craig 211+ passing yards (-117 DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Craig had cleared 211+ passing yards in 6 of his last 10 games and 14 of his last 19. The -117 price implied about 54%, and his recent form pointed near 65%. - What happened: Craig completed 28 of 41 passes for 232 yards, 21.5 past the line, with a 6-yard touchdown to Jordan Dwyer. Kari Ashley caught 14 passes for 95 yards. Craig also scored twice on the ground. - Worth watching: TCU ran for just 49 yards on 21 carries, so the offense lived on Craig's arm. A thin run game pushes volume to the passer.

ALT: Arizona over 23.5 points (-195 DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Arizona had scored 24+ in 5 straight games, 8 of its last 10 and 7 of 8 this season. The main team total was 26.5 at home as a 7-point favorite. - What happened: Arizona scored 29, clearing by 5.5, but it went late. The Wildcats sat at 20 until the Quincy Craig touchdown with 1:45 left, then added the winning field goal. - Worth watching: Arizona put up 441 yards, so the scoring was there to be had. Arizona was also flagged 10 times for 111 yards.

ALT: TCU +6.5 (+100 FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: TCU had covered +6.5 in 8 of its last 10 and 6 of 8 this season. Even money on a hook-under-7 line kept a one-score loss live. - What happened: TCU lost by 1. Hudson Hooper's 93-yard interception return in the second quarter gave TCU a 14-10 lead. TCU later went up 28-20 and held the lead until the final minute. - Worth watching: TCU did not need the hook here, but +6.5 at even money is a price worth watching for whenever a team keeps games this close.

How the game played out

Arizona outgained TCU 441 to 281 but needed a late drive to win it. TCU forced 1 turnover and returned it for a touchdown. The final 1:45 decided it: an Arizona touchdown, then the winning field goal.

Trends to watch

• Richardson's volume: 11 catches for 171 yards. His receiving lines are worth a look next week.
• Ashley as a check-down: 14 catches for 95 yards in a game TCU could not run.
• Arizona's scoring floor: the team total cleared again, even on a sloppy night.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. Learn why the hook matters on a point spread, or check the CFB hub.