Oklahoma St vs. Kansas St Recap: Mestemaker's 4 TDs in a 66-28 Rout
Oklahoma State ran away from Kansas State 66-28. The Cowboys led 28-7 after one quarter and 49-14 at halftime, piling up 565 total yards. Drew Mestemaker was the center of it: 22 completions on 28 attempts for 313 yards and 4 touchdown passes, plus a 1-yard touchdown run and a 5-yard touchdown catch in the third quarter. Two DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game, both on Mestemaker.
What cashed
ALT: Drew Mestemaker 2+ passing TDs (-250 FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Mestemaker had thrown 2+ touchdown passes in 9 of his last 10 games and 16 of his last 20. The -250 price implied about 71%, and his recent run put him near 80%. - What happened: This one was settled in the first quarter. He hit Justin Bowick for 32 yards early in the first quarter and M. McPhaul from 3 yards with 50 seconds left in the quarter. He added a 19-yarder to Miles Coleman before the half and a 5-yard score to Caleb Hawkins in the third. 4 touchdowns, 2.5 past the line. - Worth watching: Touchdown props on a quarterback in an offense this explosive are worth a look, but an alt at -250 asks a lot of the price. The trend has to be this strong to justify it.
Drew Mestemaker 285+ passing yards (-114 FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: He had cleared 285+ passing yards in 9 of his last 10 games and 13 of his last 20. The -114 price implied about 53%, against about 73% from recent games. - What happened: 313 yards on just 28 attempts, 11.2 yards per throw, 28.5 past the line. His one interception was returned 18 yards for a Kansas State touchdown, but it did not slow the offense. - Worth watching: Volume is the risk in a rout. Broderick Vehrs got a pass attempt late, and Mestemaker threw only 28 times. He cleared on efficiency, so blowout spots are worth weighing before playing his yardage overs.
How the game played out
Caleb Hawkins did damage on the ground and through the air: 20 carries for 175 yards and 3 rushing touchdowns, plus 6 catches for 71 yards and a score. Kansas State threw 3 interceptions, 2 of them to LaDainian Fields, and converted 8 of 18 third downs. Derrick Salley Jr. was the bright spot with 3 catches for 100 yards and 2 touchdowns, including a 73-yarder in the first quarter.
Trends to watch
- Hawkins' usage: 26 touches across rushing and receiving. His scrimmage yards and anytime touchdown lines deserve attention.
- Mestemaker's efficiency: 22 completions on 28 attempts. His yardage line depends on how long the game stays competitive.
- Kansas State's turnovers: 3 interceptions from two quarterbacks gave Oklahoma State short fields.
Stats are from the ESPN box score. New to these markets? Read our player prop guide and implied probability guide, or check the CFB hub.
21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.