Virginia Tech vs. SMU Recap: Jennings' 4 TDs Lead Five Cashes
SMU beat Virginia Tech 51-28 at home on Friday night. The Mustangs led 10-0 after one quarter and 23-14 at the half, then scored two touchdowns in the third quarter to pull away. Kevin Jennings threw for 350 yards and 4 touchdowns, three of them to Yamir Knight, and SMU piled up 569 total yards. Virginia Tech scored twice late in the fourth to make the final look closer. Five DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.
What cashed
ALT: Kevin Jennings 2+ passing TDs (-161 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Jennings had thrown 2 or more touchdown passes in 9 of his last 10 games and 16 of his last 20. The price implied 62 percent against about 80 from recent games. - What happened: He completed 24 of 32 passes for 350 yards with 4 touchdowns and 1 interception. Knight caught scores of 46, 13 and 5 yards, and Jalen Cooper added a 50-yarder late. He cleared the line by 2.5. - Worth watching: He averaged 10.9 yards per attempt. When he is hitting downfield like this, the touchdowns come in bunches.
ALT: Virginia Tech over 18.5 points (-330 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Virginia Tech had scored 19 or more in all 8 games this season, five straight and 8 of its last 10. The main team total was 25.5 in a 56.5 total game. - What happened: Virginia Tech scored 28 and cleared the line by 9.5. It took a while: the Hokies sat at 14 through three quarters and got past the number on Jeffrey Overton Jr.'s 2-yard run and two-point conversion with 6:29 left. - Worth watching: The offense moved the ball all night, with 417 total yards and 7 of 12 on third down. Overton ran 13 times for 123 yards and 2 touchdowns.
ALT: Que'Sean Brown 5+ receptions (-213 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Brown had 5 or more catches in all 8 games this season and in five straight. FanDuel's main line was 5.5, and the DraftKings alt at 4.5 gave us the extra catch. - What happened: 9 catches for 37 yards and a 3-yard touchdown in the fourth quarter. He cleared the line by 4.5. - Worth watching: He led Virginia Tech in catches while averaging just 4.1 yards per grab. A catches prop fits that role better than a yardage prop.
Kendrick Raphael anytime TD (-230 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Raphael had scored in 6 of 8 games this season and 4 of his last 5. SMU was a 5.5-point home favorite in a 56.5 total, which implied about 31 points. - What happened: He scored on a 3-yard run at 9:10 of the third quarter, putting SMU up 30-14. He finished with 15 carries for 63 yards and 1 catch for 11 yards. - Worth watching: His 15 carries were more than double any other SMU runner. That workload is what keeps his touchdown chances steady.
ALT: SMU over 24.5 points (-295 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: SMU had scored 25 or more in 9 of its last 10 and 7 of 8 this season, averaging 35.5 over its last 10. The spread and total implied about 31 points. - What happened: SMU scored 51 and cleared the line by 26.5. Raphael's third-quarter touchdown took the Mustangs past it. - Worth watching: Brendan Baird made all 3 field goals, from 47, 26 and 50 yards. SMU kept scoring even on drives that stalled.
How the game played out
SMU opened with a 75-yard touchdown drive capped by Dramekco Green's 12-yard run. Virginia Tech pulled within 7-10 and 14-20 in the second quarter, but a Hokies fumble set up a one-play, 46-yard touchdown pass to Knight, and Baird's 50-yarder made it 23-14 at the break. SMU then scored touchdowns on three straight drives across the third and early fourth. Christian Rhodes added 92 rushing yards on 7 carries as SMU ran for 219.
Trends to watch
- Knight caught 6 passes for 103 yards and 3 touchdowns. He caught three of Jennings' four touchdown passes.
- Virginia Tech scored 14 of its 28 points in the fourth quarter. Its team total cleared late, so live numbers can shift a lot.
- Both teams combined for 79 points against a 56.5 total. SMU's offense carried most of that.
Stats are from the ESPN box score. More on reading these prices: anytime touchdown props, totals and our college football hub.
21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.