DARIMARKET
MLB · Game recap · Tue, Oct 13

Guardians vs. Rays Recap: Peralta Goes Six, Three Hit Props Cash

Final · Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays
Rays 3, Guardians 1
Board plays on this game
4 of 8 hit. We post the misses too.

The Rays beat the Guardians 3-1 in Game 2 of the ALCS, and the series is tied 1-1. Freddy Peralta threw six scoreless innings, and Tampa Bay got all three of its runs in the fourth: a fielding error by Jose Ramirez at third let Victor Mesa Jr. score, and Liam Hicks followed with a two-run single to center. All three runs were unearned. Cleveland got one back in the seventh on a Chase DeLauter double but left 15 runners on base. Four DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.

What cashed

Freddy Peralta over 13.5 outs (-129 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Peralta had recorded 14+ outs in 9 straight starts and 27 of 32 this season, and he got 14 outs on 66 pitches against the Yankees in the ALDS. DraftKings moved the price from -121 to -129 toward the over. - What happened: Peralta went 6.0 innings for 18 outs, 4.5 over the line. He allowed 4 hits and 2 walks, struck out 6 and threw 99 pitches, 68 for strikes. His last out was Petey Halpin, who struck out swinging on the ninth pitch of the at-bat to end the sixth. Kevin Kelly took over in the seventh. - Worth watching: Peralta got 14 outs in the ALDS and 18 here, and Tampa Bay let him reach 99 pitches. While the Rays keep letting him work this deep, his outs line is worth a look.

Steven Kwan 1+ hits (-209 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Kwan was leading off against a righty in Peralta, a split where he hit .306 over 432 plate appearances, and he had a hit in 5 of 6 postseason games. - What happened: Kwan cashed in his first at-bat, an infield single to short leading off the game. He added a single to left in the seventh that moved Patrick Bailey to second, then went to third on the DeLauter double. He finished with 2 hits in 5 at-bats. - Worth watching: The price was steep at -209, but a leadoff hitter gets the most trips to the plate. Kwan's hit prop stays worth tracking against right-handed starters.

These plays were on the board before kickoff.Join the board free →

Chase DeLauter 1+ hits (-195 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: DeLauter was batting third against Peralta (4.42 ERA, 1.33 WHIP), hitting .287 on the season and .269 against righties, with a hit in 5 of 6 postseason games. - What happened: DeLauter struck out in the first and walked in the third and fifth. In the seventh he doubled to right off Ian Seymour, scoring Bailey for Cleveland's only run. He finished with 1 hit in 2 at-bats, 2 walks and an RBI. - Worth watching: Two walks cut into his at-bats, which is the risk on any hit prop for a patient hitter. He still found a way, and he has kept getting on base this postseason.

Junior Caminero 1+ hits (-249 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Caminero bats third against left-handed starter Parker Messick and hit .287 with a .916 OPS against lefties this season. He had hits in 4 of his last 5 games and 8 of his last 10, including Game 1. - What happened: Caminero settled it early with a two-out double to left in the first. He walked in the fourth, flied out in the fifth and struck out in the eighth, finishing with 1 hit in 3 at-bats. - Worth watching: At -249 there is not much payout, but his numbers against lefties made this a strong spot. When Tampa Bay faces a left-handed starter, his hit prop is worth a look.

How the game played out

Peralta kept Cleveland scoreless through six. Tampa Bay put two on in the third before Yandy Diaz grounded into a double play. The fourth was the swing: Mesa Jr. scored on the Ramirez error, and Hicks drove in Chandler Simpson and Ben Williamson. In the seventh, Bailey walked as a pinch hitter, Kwan singled and DeLauter doubled, but Jo Adell struck out to end the threat. Bryan Baker closed it with a scoreless ninth for the save.

Trends to watch

  • Cleveland struck out 9 times and left 15 on base. The top of the order is getting on, with Kwan and DeLauter reaching base five times between them, but Jo Adell and Nathaniel Lowe were held hitless in 8 at-bats behind them.
  • Hicks had 2 hits in 3 at-bats and 2 RBI from the eighth spot. Tampa Bay's lower order is producing when the top is quiet.
  • Peralta's 99-pitch outing shows how far Tampa Bay will stretch him. His outs and strikeout lines are worth checking before his next start.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. For more on these markets, see player props, American odds and implied probability.

21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.

More MLB recaps

Today's MLB picks →

DARIMARKET

Pull up to the board.

The next slate is already on the board, ranked by confidence, with live calls during the games. It's free to join.

Join DARIMARKET free