Pacers vs. Heat Recap: Davion Mitchell Sweeps Three Lines

Miami beat Indiana 145-125. The Pacers scored 42 in the first quarter and led by as many as 8, but the Heat won the second quarter 32-19 to take a 68-61 halftime lead and kept pulling away, building a lead as large as 25. Miami shot 58 percent, scored 64 points in the paint and had 38 assists. Giannis Antetokounmpo posted 31 points, 18 rebounds and 10 assists, Bam Adebayo scored 27 on 11-of-14 shooting, and Klay Thompson made 7 threes for 25. Four DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.

What cashed

Davion Mitchell 10+ points (-264 at DraftKings): CASHED

• Our read: Mitchell had 10+ points in 9 of his last 10 and all 5 games this season.
• What happened: He scored 15 in 35 minutes, 5.5 over, and made 3 of 8 threes.

Davion Mitchell 20+ points + rebounds + assists (-186 at FanDuel): CASHED

• Our read: He had 20+ PRA in 8 of his last 10 and 5 of 5 this season, and the total was up at 237.5, so we expected a fast game.
• What happened: 15 points, 6 rebounds and 11 assists made 32, 12.5 over. The teams combined for 270.

Davion Mitchell 20+ points + assists (-110 at FanDuel): CASHED

• Our read: Mitchell had 20+ points + assists in all 5 games this season and 7 of his last 10, with Indiana thin in the backcourt with Haliburton and McConnell out.
• What happened: 15 points and 11 assists made 26, 6.5 over. He finished +32, the best mark on the floor.
• Worth watching: All three Mitchell lines came from the same 35 minutes, so they rise and fall together. His assist numbers in a fast game are what drove the combos.

ALT: Bobby Portis 2+ made threes (-115 at FanDuel): CASHED

• Our read: Portis had made 2+ threes in 6 of his last 10 and 14 of his last 20. At -115 the implied chance was 53 percent against about 63 percent.
• What happened: He went 2-of-4 from three off the bench in 17 minutes.
• Worth watching: This was a lower-confidence play that landed on the number. Bench minutes make his three-point volume swing night to night.

How the game played out

Indiana shot 48 percent and made 17 threes, but Miami made 18 and dominated inside. Andrew Nembhard scored 22 with 9 assists for the Pacers, and Quenton Jackson added 24 off 13 shots. Pascal Siakam went 5-of-17.

Trends to watch

• Mitchell had 11 assists in 35 minutes. While he plays that much, his assist-based combos are worth a look.
• Antetokounmpo grabbed 18 rebounds in 31 minutes. His rebound line is one to watch.
• The game went well over a 237.5 total. Both teams pushed the pace, which matters for totals the next time either plays.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. For more on these markets, see player prop and total, or get more at /nba.