DARIMARKET
NBA · Game recap · Fri, Oct 30

Magic vs. Raptors Recap: Barnes Drops 41 as Two Lines Cash

Final · Orlando Magic at Toronto Raptors
Magic 121, Raptors 114
Board plays on this game
4 of 7 hit. We post the misses too.

Orlando beat Toronto 121-114. The Magic won the first two quarters, led 64-55 at halftime and 95-88 after three, then matched the Raptors 26-26 in the fourth. Orlando shot 53 percent from the field and 18-of-34 from three. Desmond Bane scored 28 with 6 threes, and Franz Wagner had 26 points and 11 assists. Scottie Barnes carried Toronto with 41 points on 19-of-34 shooting. Four DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.

What cashed

Scottie Barnes 28+ points + assists (-122 at FanDuel): CASHED

  • Our read: Barnes had cleared 28+ points + assists in 9 of his last 10 and 13 of his last 20. At -122 the implied chance was 55 percent against about 73 percent.
  • What happened: 41 points and 5 assists made 46, 18.5 over, in 39 minutes.

ALT: Scottie Barnes 23+ points (+104 at FanDuel): CASHED

  • Our read: He had cleared 23+ points in 8 of his last 10 and 10 of his last 20. The plus price implied 49 percent against about 63 percent.
  • What happened: His 41 points cleared by 18.5. He took 34 shots.
  • Worth watching: This was a lower-confidence play that landed big. Both Barnes lines came from the same night, so they rise and fall together. Size them that way.
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ALT: Collin Murray-Boyles 8+ points (-175 at DraftKings): CASHED

  • Our read: Murray-Boyles had cleared 8+ points in 8 of his last 10 and 16 of his last 20.
  • What happened: He scored 15 on 7-of-10 shooting in 23 minutes, 7.5 over.
  • Worth watching: He was efficient in limited minutes. A low points line on a player who finishes like this is worth a look.

Jamal Shead 7+ rebounds + assists (-140 at FanDuel): CASHED

  • Our read: Shead had cleared 7+ rebounds + assists in 8 of his last 10 and 13 of his last 20. The best price of -132 implied 57 percent against about 69 percent.
  • What happened: He had 8 assists and 1 rebound for 9 in 23 minutes, 2.5 over.
  • Worth watching: He scored only 2 points, but his passing carried the line. That is the point of an assist-based combo.

How the game played out

Toronto shot 51 percent and scored 50 points in the paint, but Orlando made 7 more threes and went 25-of-29 at the line. Toronto never led by more than 2. Wendell Carter Jr. added 20 points for the Magic and finished +17.

Trends to watch

  • Barnes took 34 shots in 39 minutes. With that kind of usage, his points and combo lines are worth tracking.
  • Bane took 12 threes and made 6. His three-point volume makes his made-threes line one to watch.
  • Anthony Black had 10 assists in 31 minutes for Orlando. His assist line is worth a look while he runs the offense like this.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. For more on these markets, see player prop and american odds, or get more at /nba.

21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.

Player hit rates from this game

Research tools

Free. Hit rates show past results, not a prediction. 21+.

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