DARIMARKET
NBA · Game recap · Sun, Nov 8

Pelicans vs. Clippers Recap: Shootout Clears the Over, Two Props Cash

Final · New Orleans Pelicans at LA Clippers
Clippers 139, Pelicans 123
Board plays on this game
3 of 4 hit. We post the misses too.

The Clippers beat the Pelicans 139-123 in Los Angeles. A 39-point second quarter gave the Clippers a 67-60 halftime lead, and a 37-28 fourth quarter put it away. They shot 55 percent from the field with 34 assists, and Darius Garland led the way with 24 points and 10 assists. Three DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.

What cashed

ALT: Over 216.5 total points (-300 FanDuel / -294 DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: The main total was 226.5. Over 216.5 had cashed in 16 of the two teams' last 20 combined games and 9 of 10 across their combined last five, so we took the cushion. - What happened: The teams combined for 262, clearing by 45.5. Both sides shot over 50 percent and the teams made 62 free throws between them. - Worth watching: This one was never in doubt. When both offenses are this efficient, alt overs carry very little risk, and the price reflects that.

Saddiq Bey 13+ points (-130 FanDuel / -122 DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Bey had cleared 13+ points in 8 of his last 10 games and 18 of his last 20. The best price of -122 implied 55 percent against about 81 percent from recent games. - What happened: Exactly 13 points in 26 minutes off the bench, clearing by 0.5. His shot was cold at 3-12, but he made all 6 of his free throws, and that is what got him there. - Worth watching: The price gap was the reason to play it. A thin cash on a cold shooting night is a reminder that the edge is in the number, not a promise of the result.

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Trey Murphy III 3+ assists (-146 FanDuel / -148 DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Murphy had cleared 3+ assists in 7 of 8 games this season, averaging 3.6. - What happened: 3 assists, clearing by 0.5. He also scored 26 points on 9-17 shooting with 4 threes and 7 rebounds in 30 minutes. - Worth watching: He was a scorer first in this one, and the assist line came down to the wire. At an average of 3.6, the 3+ rung has little room.

How the game played out

New Orleans stayed within reach for three quarters. Zion Williamson scored 25 on 9-9 shooting and Jeremiah Fears added 25, and the teams split the third quarter 35-35. The Clippers pulled away late behind Brook Lopez (20 points) and a bench that included Gradey Dick and Keaton Wagler with 15 each.

Trends to watch

  • Garland had 10 assists and 9-12 at the line. His assist line looks worth checking in high-pace games like this one.
  • Williamson attempted 9 free throws and did not miss from the field. His points line is worth watching when he gets to the line this often.
  • The Clippers made 16 threes on 38 tries. High three-point volume is a big reason this total went so far over.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. New to the terms? See total, alt line and implied probability.

21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.

Player hit rates from this game

Research tools

Free. Hit rates show past results, not a prediction. 21+.

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