Raptors vs. Bucks Recap: Barrett and Herro Cash in Toronto Comeback
The Raptors beat the Bucks 121-107 in Milwaukee on Friday night. Milwaukee led 29-24 after one quarter and 60-51 at the half, then Toronto took over: the Raptors won the third quarter 38-27 to go up 89-87 and the fourth 32-20 to pull away. Toronto scored 58 points in the paint, and the Bucks turned it over 20 times. Four DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.
What cashed
ALT: RJ Barrett 20+ points (-230 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Barrett had scored 20 or more in seven of eight games this season, averaging 20.9. - What happened: 27 points on 9 of 21 shooting and 9 of 11 at the line in 37 minutes, with 7 rebounds and 5 assists. He cleared the line by 7.5. - Worth watching: He made 0 of 4 from three and still got to 27. When his points come from twos and free throws, a cold night from three does not sink him.
Kyle Kuzma 3+ assists (+104 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Kuzma had 3 or more assists in nine of his last 10 games and 14 of his last 20. The best price, +111, implied 47 percent against about 76 percent from recent games. - What happened: Exactly 3 assists in 32 minutes, along with 13 points on 6 of 9 shooting and 4 rebounds. It cashed by half a point. - Worth watching: Plus money on a low assists line only works with steady minutes. He played 32 here, and that is the number to track.
Ja'Kobe Walter 2+ assists (-188 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Walter had 2 or more assists in seven of eight games, averaging 2.5 on 29.1 minutes, with recent nights of 2, 5, 2, 1 and 2. - What happened: Exactly 2 assists in 29 minutes, plus 6 rebounds. It cashed by half a point. - Worth watching: His minutes landed right on his average. Jamal Shead had 16 of Toronto's 28 assists, so Walter's share is small and this line leaves little room.
ALT: Tyler Herro 15+ points (-430 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Herro had scored 15 or more in seven of eight games this season, averaging 22.3. - What happened: 23 points on 7 of 16 shooting and 8 of 10 at the line, with 10 assists and 5 rebounds in 35 minutes. He cleared the line by 8.5. - Worth watching: Scoring 23 while also handing out 10 assists shows how much he has the ball. That gives his low scoring alts a wide cushion.
How the game played out
The Bucks had the better first half, and their largest lead was 15. After the break, Toronto outscored Milwaukee by 23. Alijah Martin came off the bench for 27 points on 9 of 11 shooting, including 6 of 7 from three. Jakob Poeltl had 19 points and 11 rebounds, Collin Murray-Boyles added 19 points, and Shead handed out 16 assists. Brayden Burries led Milwaukee with 21 points and 11 rebounds.
Trends to watch
- Toronto scored 58 points in the paint and grabbed 15 offensive rebounds. Interior scoring like that keeps Barrett's points props on solid ground.
- Shead had 16 assists in 34 minutes. Martin and Poeltl combined for 46 points, so Toronto's scoring is spreading past Barrett.
- Milwaukee committed 20 turnovers and made 10 of 40 threes. Herro's floor held anyway, which is what you want from a scoring alt.
Stats are from the ESPN box score. New to these prices? Read up on player props and implied probability, or see more on our NBA hub.
21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.