Rockets vs. Mavericks Recap: 40-Point Fourth Sends Over Home
Dallas came from behind to beat Houston 116-111. The Rockets led 51-44 at halftime and 84-76 after three quarters, with a lead as large as 11. The Mavericks then won the fourth quarter 40-27. Kyrie Irving scored 35 with 9 assists, Cooper Flagg added 33 on 13-of-19 shooting, and Dallas had 28 fast-break points. Kevin Durant led Houston with 28. Seven DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.
What cashed
ALT: Over 220.5 total points (-154 at DraftKings): CASHED
- Our read: The main total was 223.5. These two teams had gone over 220.5 in 16 of their last 20 combined games and 9 of 10 this season.
- What happened: The teams combined for 227, 6.5 over. The 40-point Dallas fourth quarter carried it home.
ALT: Mavericks over 105.5 points (-177 at DraftKings): CASHED
- Our read: Dallas had cleared 105.5 in 9 of its last 10 and all 5 games this season, with an implied team total near 108.5.
- What happened: The Mavericks scored 116, 10.5 over, on 52 percent shooting.
- Worth watching: Dallas had only 44 at halftime and still cleared by double digits. The team total gave us room to absorb a slow start.
Tari Eason 18+ points + rebounds + assists (-112 at FanDuel): CASHED
- Our read: Eason had cleared 18+ PRA in 8 of his last 10 and 15 of his last 20. The best price of -109 implied 52 percent against about 74 percent.
- What happened: 11 points, 13 rebounds and 2 assists made 26, 8.5 over, in 26 minutes.
Tari Eason 17+ points + rebounds (-112 at FanDuel): CASHED
- Our read: He had cleared 17+ points + rebounds in 8 of his last 10 and 15 of his last 20.
- What happened: 11 points and 13 rebounds made 24, 7.5 over.
- Worth watching: Eason shot 4-of-12, and his 13 rebounds carried both combo lines. Combo props give a player like him more than one way to get there.
ALT: Amen Thompson 15+ points (-265 at FanDuel): CASHED
- Our read: Thompson had cleared 15+ points in each of his last 10 games and 19 of his last 20. The best price of -227 implied 69 percent against about 91 percent.
- What happened: He scored exactly 15 on 7-of-15 shooting in 39 minutes.
- Worth watching: He played 39 minutes. That kind of workload is what keeps this line in play.
ALT: Daniel Gafford 7+ points (-192 at FanDuel): CASHED
- Our read: Gafford had cleared 7+ points in 8 of his last 10 and 18 of his last 20.
- What happened: He scored 18 on 6-of-7 shooting in 29 minutes, 11.5 over, and finished +10.
Zaccharie Risacher 4+ rebounds (-156 at FanDuel): CASHED
- Our read: Risacher had 4+ rebounds in all 5 games this season and 7 of his last 10, with Dallas thin up front.
- What happened: He grabbed 6 rebounds in 28 minutes, 2.5 over, and made 3 of 6 threes for 12 points.
How the game played out
Houston went 7-of-29 from three and took 33 free throws. The Rockets won the rebounding battle 48-41 and forced 17 turnovers, but Dallas shot 52 percent and closed the game on a run.
Trends to watch
- Flagg played 39 minutes and took 19 shots. His points line is worth tracking with that volume.
- Gafford made 6 of 7 shots in 29 minutes. With Dallas thin up front, his points and rebound lines are worth a look.
- Eason grabbed 13 rebounds in 26 minutes. His rebound-based combos are worth tracking.
Stats are from the ESPN box score. For more on these markets, see total and player prop, or get more at /nba.
21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.