Browns vs. Saints Recap: Juwan Johnson Wins It in OT, Jeudy Cashes
The Saints beat the Browns 23-22 in overtime in New Orleans after a wild finish. The game was 6-6 through three quarters of field goals. Then Shedeur Sanders hit KC Concepcion for a 64-yard touchdown, Audric Estime ran in from 2 yards with 58 seconds left to put New Orleans ahead, and Andre Szmyt tied it at 16 with a 51-yard field goal at 0:08. In overtime, Tyler Shough found Juwan Johnson for a 15-yard touchdown, and Cleveland's answering score from Harold Fannin Jr. came with a failed two-point try. Three DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.
What cashed
ALT: Juwan Johnson 30+ receiving yards (+100 FanDuel): CASHED
- Our read: Johnson had cleared 30 receiving yards in seven of his last ten. At even money (50% implied) we had him closer to 70%.
- What happened: Johnson caught both of his targets for 34 yards, clearing by 4.5. The second catch was the 15-yard overtime touchdown that ended up deciding the game.
- Worth watching: Two targets is thin volume, and this one needed the extra period to get over. Chris Olave drew 12 targets, so Johnson's yardage props depend on efficiency more than volume.
ALT: Jerry Jeudy 15+ receiving yards (-112 DraftKings): CASHED
- Our read: Jeudy had cleared 15 receiving yards in seven of his last ten. At -112 (53% implied) we had him closer to 70%.
- What happened: Jeudy caught 2 of 4 targets for 37 yards, with a long of 30, clearing by 22.5.
ALT: Jerry Jeudy 2+ receptions (+121 DraftKings): CASHED
- Our read: Jeudy had also caught 2 or more passes in seven of his last ten, and +121 implied only 45%.
- What happened: He caught exactly 2, so this one cashed right at the number.
- Worth watching: Jeudy was the third option on this day. Denzel Boston had 7 targets and Concepcion had 6. Low rungs on Jeudy got there, but his share of the passing game is worth watching before going higher.
How the game played out
New Orleans outgained Cleveland 396 to 355 and ran for 160 yards, with Estime carrying 15 times for 72 yards and Shough adding 51 on the ground. Cleveland had no turnovers to New Orleans' two, but was 0-2 in the red zone and lived on big plays. Sanders threw for 297 yards and 2 touchdowns, while Boston caught 6 passes for 98 yards. Both teams were sacked 5 times.
Trends to watch
- Shedeur Sanders averaged 9.6 yards per attempt and his two touchdowns came on 64- and 39-yard throws. Cleveland's passing game is producing explosive plays even when the offense stalls in the red zone.
- Chris Olave led the Saints with 12 targets and 98 yards. His receptions and yardage props are the volume play in this offense.
- Quinshon Judkins averaged 2.9 yards a carry on 15 attempts. Browns rushing yardage props look tough until that improves.
Stats are from the ESPN box score. Learn more about alt lines and player props. More at /nfl.
21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.