DARIMARKET
NFL · Game recap · Sun, Nov 8

Giants vs. Eagles Recap: Zvada Kicks NY Past Philly, Barkley Hits 13

Final · New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles
Giants 19, Eagles 11
Board plays on this game
2 of 4 hit. We post the misses too.

The Giants beat the Eagles 19-11 in Philadelphia in a low-scoring, defensive game. Dominic Zvada kicked four field goals for New York, including a 53-yarder and two from 49. Saquon Barkley's 3-yard run and a Joe Milton two-point run gave Philadelphia an 8-6 lead in the first quarter, but the Eagles didn't score again until a late Jake Elliott field goal. Jameis Winston's 5-yard touchdown pass to Isaiah Likely in the third put the Giants ahead for good. Two DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.

What cashed

ALT: Darnell Mooney 14+ receiving yards (-112 DraftKings): CASHED

  • Our read: Mooney had cleared 14 receiving yards in seven of his last ten. At -112 (53% implied) we had him closer to 70%.
  • What happened: Mooney caught 3 of 4 targets for 54 yards, with a long of 27, clearing the rung by 40.5.
  • Worth watching: He averaged 18.0 yards a catch. Mooney works as a downfield option, so a low yardage rung can cash on one catch, which is why this angle stays worth a look.
These plays were on the board before kickoff.Join the board free →

Saquon Barkley 13+ rushing attempts (-129 DraftKings): CASHED

  • Our read: Barkley had cleared 13 carries in seven of his last ten. At -129 (56% implied) we had him closer to 67%.
  • What happened: Barkley carried exactly 13 times, so it cashed right at the number. The yards weren't there, just 22 at 1.7 a carry, but the attempts prop only needed the volume. He also scored the Eagles' only touchdown.
  • Worth watching: This is the reason we like attempts props over yardage on a tough day. Barkley's carries held up even with the run game stuffed. Joe Milton ran 9 times himself, though, and that cuts into the backfield count.

How the game played out

Both offenses struggled. New York gained 243 yards and Philadelphia 220. Each team was sacked repeatedly, the Giants 6 times and the Eagles 7, and both offenses were poor on third down (Giants 6-17, Eagles 5-18). New York split quarterback snaps, with J.J. McCarthy completing 12 of 19 passes and Winston 6 of 8, including the Likely touchdown. Milton completed 18 of 34 passes for 169 yards for Philadelphia and led the Eagles in rushing with 64 yards. The Giants held the ball for 34:45.

Trends to watch

  • Devin Singletary carried 21 times for just 31 yards. Giants backfield volume is there, but the yardage isn't, so attempts props make more sense than rushing yards.
  • Joe Milton is running a lot. His 9 carries for 64 yards suggest his rushing props are worth a look, and that he takes carries from Barkley.
  • Pass rush drove this game, with 13 total sacks. In a matchup like this, quarterback passing yardage overs carry more risk.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. Learn about player props and implied probability. More at /nfl.

21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.

Player hit rates from this game

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Free. Hit rates show past results, not a prediction. 21+.

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