Raiders vs. 49ers Recap: Purdy Doubles Up, Bowers Clears 70

The 49ers beat the Raiders 38-17 in San Francisco. They built a 14-0 first-quarter lead, led 21-10 at the half and pulled away when Jaden Dugger returned an interception 35 yards for a score 17 seconds into the third quarter. Las Vegas turned it over 5 times, and San Francisco ran for 190 yards on 43 carries. Five DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.

What cashed

ALT: Brock Purdy 200+ passing yards (-320 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Purdy cleared 200+ in 6 of 7 games this season, averaging 249.7. - What happened: He completed 17 of 25 passes for 232 yards and 2 touchdowns, a 12-yarder to Christian McCaffrey and a 37-yarder to Jordan Watkins. He cleared by 32.5. - Worth watching: Even in a run-heavy win, he got there on 25 attempts. That efficiency is why the alt line works.

ALT: Brock Purdy 16+ rushing yards (-113 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Purdy cleared 16+ rushing yards in 7 of his last 10 and 10 of his last 16. At -113 (53% implied) we had it near 64%. - What happened: He ran 7 times for 40 yards with a long of 18, and scored on a 1-yard run in the first quarter. He cleared by 24.5. - Worth watching: Near-even money on a QB rushing line with this hit rate is worth a look again.

ALT: Brock Bowers 70+ receiving yards (-145 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Bowers cleared 70+ in all 6 games this season, averaging 91.2. - What happened: He caught 7 of 8 targets for 111 yards, including a 21-yard touchdown in the third quarter. He cleared by 41.5. - Worth watching: He is the focal point of this passing game. Seven games, seven clears of 70.

ALT: Tre Tucker 25+ receiving yards (-238 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Tucker cleared 25+ in 9 of his last 10 and 16 of his last 20. - What happened: He caught 4 of 8 targets for 55 yards, clearing by 30.5. - Worth watching: Eight targets is a healthy share behind Bowers. The alt line has room at that volume.

ALT: Raiders over 14.5 team points (-340 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: The Raiders scored 15+ in 8 straight and 8 of their last 10, averaging 24.5, and the 49ers had allowed 15+ in 6 of 10. The line implied about 21. - What happened: Las Vegas got to 17 on a 2-yard Kirk Cousins run, a 50-yard Matt Gay field goal and the Bowers touchdown. It cleared by 2.5, even with 5 turnovers. - Worth watching: This one was closer than the others. A low alt total still needs the offense to finish drives.

How the game played out

San Francisco controlled the ball for 38:18. McCaffrey ran 18 times for 68 yards and a score, and Kaelon Black added 70 yards on 11 carries. The 49ers defense had 3 interceptions, with Dugger's return the turning point. Eddy Pineiro closed the scoring with a 35-yard field goal in the fourth.

Trends to watch

• Black averaged 6.4 yards a carry alongside McCaffrey. His rushing line is worth tracking.
• Bowers has topped 70 receiving yards in every game this season, so his yardage lines stay worth a look.
• San Francisco converted 8-13 on third down. Long drives like these support 49ers rushing props.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. New to the terms? See alt line, total and implied probability.