Raiders vs. Jets Recap: Cousins, Bowers and Jeanty Cash in 38-33 Win
The Raiders beat the Jets 38-33 on Sunday in a game that swung back and forth until Matt Gay hit a 53-yard field goal with 27 seconds left. New York led 23-14 at halftime and 30-21 midway through the third quarter. Las Vegas opened the second half with three straight touchdown drives, and the last one put the Raiders up 35-30 early in the fourth. The Jets' final drive ended in a Jeremy Chinn interception. Kirk Cousins was efficient, and the Raiders scored touchdowns on all four of their red zone trips. Four DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.
What cashed
Brock Bowers 5+ receptions (-310 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Bowers had 5 or more catches in 4 of 5 games this season on 8 to 14 targets a game, and his 4+ catch line had hit 10 straight times. - What happened: Bowers caught 7 of his 10 targets for 92 yards and two touchdowns, 2.5 over the line. His 12-yard touchdown in the first quarter was the first touchdown of the game. His fifth catch was a 2-yard touchdown in the third quarter that pulled Las Vegas within 23-21. His longest was a 27-yarder on the first play of the second half. - Worth watching: Ten targets fits the 8 to 14 range from our read. As long as that volume holds, a catch line in this range stays within reach, though the price was steep.
Kirk Cousins 175+ passing yards (-400 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Cousins had cleared 175 passing yards in each of his last five games, 8 of his last 10 and 6 of 7 this season, and our pregame note had him confirmed as the starter over Mendoza. - What happened: Cousins completed 19 of 26 passes for 247 yards, 3 touchdowns and no interceptions, 72.5 yards over the line. He also ran in a 1-yard touchdown in the third quarter and was sacked once. - Worth watching: He threw only 26 passes and still cleared by a wide margin at 9.5 yards per attempt. The yardage case held up, but at -400 the price leaves very little room, so the number you can get matters more than the yards.
ALT: Michael Mayer 3+ receptions (-163 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Mayer had at least 3 catches in 8 of his last 10 games and 13 of his last 20. The -163 price implied 62%, against about 69% from his recent games. - What happened: Mayer caught 5 of his 6 targets for 53 yards, 2.5 over the line. His third catch was a 13-yarder late in the third quarter on the 84-yard drive that ended with Jalen Nailor's go-ahead touchdown. His longest was a 19-yard catch on the drive before that, which ended with Cousins scoring. - Worth watching: Six targets with Bowers also on the field is a steady role. A low alt catch number fits that kind of usage.
Ashton Jeanty 60+ rushing + receiving yards (-381 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Jeanty had cleared 60 scrimmage yards in 9 of his last 10 games, 8 of 10 on the road, and averaged 99.5 over that stretch. - What happened: Jeanty finished with 73 scrimmage yards, 13.5 over the line, and 64 of them came on 3 catches. The one that put him over was a 45-yard catch on the first play of the fourth quarter, on the go-ahead touchdown drive. - Worth watching: A combined yardage line gives a back two ways to get there, and this game showed why: most of Jeanty's yards came as a receiver. That two-way usage is worth keeping in mind when his combined line comes up again.
How the game played out
The Jets moved the ball well, with 439 total yards. Braelon Allen ran 21 times for 147 yards and a touchdown, and Adonai Mitchell caught 7 passes for 142 yards. But New York scored touchdowns on just 2 of 6 red zone trips, and Jason Sanders kicked four field goals. Las Vegas also scored on special teams: Dylan Laube returned a kickoff 95 yards for a touchdown 12 seconds after the Jets' first touchdown.
Trends to watch
- Las Vegas converted 7 of 11 third downs and did not turn the ball over.
- Bowers and Mayer combined for 12 catches on 16 targets, a big share of the Raiders passing game.
- The Jets' run game showed up: 166 rushing yards on 27 attempts.
Stats are from the ESPN box score. For more, see player props, implied probability and our NFL hub.
21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.