Heat vs. Kings Recap: Kings Cover, Mitchell and Acuff Cash

The Heat beat the Kings 114-108 in Sacramento. Miami built a 68-59 halftime lead behind Giannis Antetokounmpo (29 points, 14 rebounds) and Klay Thompson, who hit 7 of 13 from three, and the Kings never got all the way back. Five DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.

What cashed

Kings +10.5 (-120 FanDuel / -112 DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Over the last 15, the Heat scored 121.1 and allowed 115.3 on the road, while the Kings allowed 113.4 at home. Our projected margin was 1.4 for Miami against a line of 10.5, even with Sacramento on a back-to-back. - What happened: Sacramento lost by 6, so the number held with 4.5 points to spare. Sacramento made 21 of 23 free throws while Miami made 8 of 18, which helped keep the game inside the number. - Worth watching: When our projected margin sits this far under the posted spread, the underdog side is worth a look. Big numbers on road favorites leave room.

Davion Mitchell 10+ points (-340 FanDuel / -309 DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Mitchell had 10+ points in 10 of his last 10 and 9 of 9 this season, in the highest total on the slate at 238.5. - What happened: 17 points on 6-11 shooting in 40 minutes, 7.5 clear of the line. - Worth watching: He played 40 minutes. As long as that workload holds, the low points rung keeps a high floor.

Davion Mitchell 20+ points + rebounds + assists (-265 FanDuel / -262 DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Mitchell had 20+ PRA in 10 of his last 10 and 9 of 9 this season, again tied to the 238.5 total. - What happened: 17 points, 3 rebounds and 11 assists for 31 PRA, 11.5 over the line. The 11 assists did most of the lifting. - Worth watching: With Mitchell running the offense, his assist total is what moves the PRA number. The combo line holds up even on a quiet scoring night.

Bam Adebayo 8+ rebounds (-290 FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Adebayo had 8+ rebounds in 5 of his last 5 and 7 of 10 over his last 10. - What happened: Exactly 8 rebounds in 34 minutes, plus 18 points. This one cleared by 0.5, the thinnest margin of the night. - Worth watching: Antetokounmpo grabbed 14 next to him, so the boards are shared. We would want a softer frontcourt matchup before going back to this rung.

Darius Acuff Jr. 5+ assists (-284 DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Acuff had 5+ assists in 5 of his last 5 and 7 of 9 this season. - What happened: 10 assists to go with 32 points on 11-21 shooting in 39 minutes. He cleared by 5.5. - Worth watching: Acuff is carrying both the scoring and the playmaking load for Sacramento. His assist line looks worth checking again while his minutes stay near 40.

How the game played out

Miami opened with quarters of 34 and 34, then scored 23 in each of the last two. The Kings won the second half 49-46 but could not erase the early gap. Miami turned 20 Sacramento turnovers into 23 points, which offset the gap at the free throw line.

Trends to watch

• Thompson took 13 threes and made 7. Miami attempted 43 threes as a team, so perimeter volume is part of their game plan.
• Precious Achiuwa pulled down 14 rebounds in 36 minutes for Sacramento. Watch his rebound line if that role sticks.
• Mitchell logged 40 minutes. His counting stats ride on that number.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. New to the terms? See point spread, player prop and implied probability.